{"id":188,"date":"2007-08-30T21:15:53","date_gmt":"2007-08-31T04:15:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/gregbaker.ca\/blog\/2007\/08\/30\/real-estate\/"},"modified":"2007-08-30T21:27:37","modified_gmt":"2007-08-31T04:27:37","slug":"real-estate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/gregbaker.ca\/blog\/2007\/08\/30\/real-estate\/","title":{"rendered":"Real Estate"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A while ago, I came across this <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2007\/04\/10\/business\/2007_BUYRENT_GRAPHIC.html?ex=1188532800&#038;en=f7d57c62e71124b7&#038;ei=5070\">rent-or-buy calculator<\/a>.  After playing around with it for a while, I learned two things: (1) I didn&#8217;t really understand what it was trying to display, and (2) the buying\/renting distinction was more subtle than I thought.  So, let me work through this&hellip;<\/p>\n<h4>Option 1: Buy<\/h4>\n<p>Let&#8217;s buy a $400,000 home.  Let&#8217;s say we get together a $50,000 down payment and mortgage $350,000.<\/p>\n<p>At the moment, the banks&#8217; best lending rates are 6.25% on variable rate mortgages.  Let&#8217;s assume (foolishly) that that will not increase over a 20 year mortgage.  A <a href=\"http:\/\/www.tdcanadatrust.com\/cgi-bin\/mortcalc.pl\">mortgage calculator<\/a> says that the monthly payment will be $2,542.<\/p>\n<p>So, after 20 years, we own our home.  Apparently, <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/United_States_housing_bubble#Belief_that_housing_is_a_good_investment\">home prices don&#8217;t really increase that much<\/a>, on average in the long-term.  (I suspect the problem here is that after 20 years, your house is 20 years older, thus less desirable to potential buyers.  It&#8217;s not relevant to compare new-home prices.)  Let&#8217;s say the home appreciates at 2% after inflation.  At the end of the mortgage, a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.rbcroyalbank.com\/RBC:RND4bo71A8YAAYtaPaE\/cgi-bin\/retirement\/c3.pl\">compound interest calculator<\/a> says that our home will be worth $594,379.<\/p>\n<h4>Option 2: Rent<\/h4>\n<p>Let&#8217;s use the mortgage payment of $2,542 per month.  We rent a place for $1,500 (which should be comparable to what we could buy for $400k at the moment), and invest the other $1042.  Start the investment account off with the $50,000 down-payment.<\/p>\n<p>Like in <a href=\"http:\/\/gregbaker.ca\/blog\/2007\/08\/12\/financial-security-on-15day\/\">my last money-related post<\/a>, I&#8217;ll use 6% after inflation as the rate of return and an <a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneychimp.com\/calculator\/compound_interest_calculator.htm\">investment calculator<\/a> gives us $649,364 after 20 years.  A net worth of $55k more than if we had bought.<\/p>\n<h4>Notes<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>Option 1 ignores property taxes, fees, and maintenance.  Strata fees in particular are going to really add up if you&#8217;re buying a condo.<\/li>\n<li>In option 1, you might do really well if housing prices go up dramatically.  Or you might get screwed.  Basically, the problem is that you have a horribly diversified portfolio.  You have one thing, your house, and are very susceptible to market fluctuations.<\/li>\n<li>Option 1 doesn&#8217;t take into account any improvements made that would increase the value of the house.  It doesn&#8217;t count the cost of those improvements either.<\/li>\n<li>A home is about the least-liquid asset you can have.  It may be worth $600k, but you have to sell it (and thus start renting) to get at that capital.<\/li>\n<li>After the 20 years, you&#8217;re definitely still paying rent in option 2.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Option 2 assumes the discipline to invest<\/strong> without the threat of the bank breaking your kneecaps.<\/li>\n<li>There are probably some tax implications of buying that I don&#8217;t know about.<\/li>\n<li>There are any number of possibly-invalid assumptions there, but I&#8217;ve tried to hit a reasonable balance (except that thing about interest rates never going up: that&#8217;s nuts).  The calculations are particularly sensitive to changes in the interest\/return rates.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4>So&hellip;<\/h4>\n<p>I don&#8217;t know, really.  I just needed to work an example through.  I guess the message is that buying a home isn&#8217;t the be-all and end-all of investing.<\/p>\n<p>We can rent, invest, and relax.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A while ago, I came across this rent-or-buy calculator. After playing around with it for a while, I learned two things: (1) I didn&#8217;t really understand what it was trying to display, and (2) the buying\/renting distinction was more subtle than I thought. So, let me work through this&hellip; Option 1: Buy Let&#8217;s buy a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-188","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-life","category-links"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/gregbaker.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/188","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/gregbaker.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/gregbaker.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/gregbaker.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/gregbaker.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=188"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/gregbaker.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/188\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/gregbaker.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=188"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/gregbaker.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=188"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/gregbaker.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=188"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}